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BPing the Arctic, Again — Fast-Tracking Shell’s Dangerous Drilling

Posted: 8/15/11 09:43 AM ET

One of the riskiest and most destructive extreme energy oil exploration projects on the planet is moving toward implementation without scientific understanding or technical preparedness — Shell’s oil drilling in the Arctic Ocean of Alaska.

On August 4, the US Bureau of Ocean Energy Management, Regulation and Enforcement (BOEMRE) conditionally approved Shell’s plan to drill up to four exploratory wells in the Beaufort Sea of Arctic Alaska starting July 2012. A Los Angeles Times editorial correctly opined, “Shell Oil’s conditional permit to drill exploratory wells off Alaska should not have been granted. The hazards of drilling in such waters are in some ways worse than operating thousands of feet underwater. … It’s too early for any approval, conditional or otherwise.” Shell still needs several more permits including an air quality permit from the Environmental Protection Agency before they can do any drilling in the Arctic seabed. We must stop it.

Soon I’ll tell you how BOEMRE is ignoring science to fast-track Shell’s dangerous drilling plan, but first here is a brief history of how we got here.

COMPLETE ARTICLE – RECOMMENDED READ

THE HUFFINGTON POST

Crossposted with ClimateStoryTellers.org

Shell: nothing wrong with fracking and unconventional gas

From pages 32, 33 34 & 35 of “Royal Dutch Shell and its sustainability troubles” – Background report to the Erratum of Shell’s Annual Report 2010

The report is made on behalf of Milieudefensie (Friends of the Earth Netherlands)
Author: Albert ten Kate: May 2011.

Shell: nothing wrong with fracking and unconventional gas

In its communication, Shell makes no difference between conventional and unconventional gas in terms of environmental and health risks. The company generally refers to natural gas as being cleaner-burning than coal in power plants and as being a bridge to a low-carbon energy future.

On fracking, Shell states on its website: “This is a safe and proven technique according to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), which is now carrying out a new study into hydraulic fracturing and its potential impact. Fracturing has been used by oil and gas companies for over 60 years.” The company does not mention that there are great differences between the traditional fracking and the present high-volume fracking, that the EPA has been presently accused of hiding some severe impacts of fracking, and that the U.S. government has not been able and/or willing to monitor the booming U.S. shale gas business adequately.

Environmental and health risks caused by unconventional gas extraction

In this section, the environmental and health risks of the present high-volume fracking are considered more in-depth.

1) Enormous water use

According to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, the volume of water needed for hydraulic fracturing varies by site and type of formation. Fifty thousand to 350,000 gallons of water may be required to fracture one well in a coal-bed formation, while two to five million gallons of water may be necessary to fracture one horizontal well in a shale formation. A gallon stands for 3.78 litres.

Shell stated in September 2010 that hydraulic fracturing requires 1 to 5 million gallons of water per well and that it re-uses some of the water. For its Groundbirch tight gas operations in British Columbia (Canada) Shell claims to use 5 to 8 million litres per well, sourced locally from the Peace River, fresh water wells and some 20-40% recycled from producing wells. As with most unconventional gas operations presently going on, the Groundbirch operations have just been starting up. As of June 2010 Shell had drilled 103 wells, with almost 3,000 wells yet to come. Shell’s future aspiration is to use reclaimed water from a waste treatment plant at Groundbirch, transported via pipelines so the present disposal by trucks can be reduced.

To explore the shale gas possibilities of the Karoo region in South Africa, Shell states it may decide to hydraulically fracture vertical and horizontal exploration wells. It expects to need up to 2.2 million litres of water for hydraulic fracturing a vertical exploration well and up to 6 million litres for an exploratory horizontal well section. Whenever Shell is allowed to explore the Karoo region, and it does find gas it could produce on an economically basis, one wonders how Shell would cope with the enormous amounts of water needed in the semi-desert Karoo region. Shell has not yet shared its thoughts about this.

2) Pollution of water resources

There are several ways in which water could be polluted through high-volume fracking. With shale gas production, the two major pathways to water contamination are activities at the surface and errors below ground: − Once in the ground, a large portion of the fracturing fluid may be trapped in the target formation. The rest, however, comes back to the surface (flowback), combined with water produced from the formation itself. Both flowback and produced water represent large waste streams. If flowback and produced water are disposed of improperly, waste water may threaten public and environmental health.

− Errors below ground can endanger water resources as well. Improperly cased wells may contaminate penetrated aquifers. Potential shallow pockets of natural gas in formations above the target layer may enter into ground water.

− Trucks transporting water to the site for fracturing and from the site for disposal may stress nearby stream banks, contributing to erosion and adding sediment to surface water.

Experiences in Pennsylvania, United States

In February and March 2011, the New York Times published several articles about the pollution caused by drilling in Pennsylvania State, USA. During nine months the newspaper had obtained more than 30,000 pages of documents from state and federal agencies/officials.

The shale gas business is booming in Pennsylvania, sitting atop the enormous reserve called the Marcellus Shale. In 2010, drilling companies were issued roughly 3,300 Marcellus gas-well permits in Pennsylvania, up from just 117 in 2007.

The New York Times estimated that more than 1.3 billion gallons of wastewater was produced by Pennsylvania wells over the past three years. Based on the obtained documents, the newspaper estimated that some 10 to 40 percent of the water sent down the well during hydrofracking returns to the surface, carrying drilling chemicals, carcinogenic materials, corrosive salts and, at times, naturally occurring radioactive material. Most of the wastewater was sent by trucks to treatment plants not equipped to remove many of the materials, and ended up in rivers providing drinking water for millions of people. The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency states that it is dangerous when radioactive wastewater contaminates drinking water or enters the food chain through fish or farming. Once radium enters a person’s body, by eating, drinking or breathing, it can cause cancer and other health problems, many federal studies show.

The newspaper was able to map the wastewater released from 149 wells. The federal drinking water standards were exceeded for the carcinogenic benzene (41 wells), gross alpha (128 wells, gross alpha is a type of radiation caused by emissions from uranium and radium), uranium (4 wells), and radium (42 wells).203 At least 116 wells produced wastewater exceeding the federal standards for radium or other radioactive materials in drinking water more than 100 times.

3) Greenhouse gas emissions

The three main greenhouse gases (GHGs) that are relevant to the petroleum and natural gas industry are methane (CH4), carbon dioxide (CO2), and nitrous oxide (N2O). Methane’s chemical lifetime in the atmosphere is approximately 12 years. Its relatively short atmospheric lifetime, coupled with its potency as a greenhouse gas, makes methane a candidate for mitigating global warming over the near-term (25 years or so). Methane is about 33 and 105 times more powerful at warming the atmosphere than carbon dioxide (CO2) by weight, for a 100-year and 20-year horizon respectively.

New estimates U.S. Environmental Protection Agency

Recently, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has re-estimated the GHG emissions from the petroleum and natural gas industry. It’s earlier estimations were from 1996. At that stage methane emissions were not considered to be so powerful at warming the atmosphere. In its new study, published in November 2010, the EPA found that CH4-emissions had been significantly underestimated. In its new estimate, the U.S. petroleum and natural gas industry emitted 317 million tonnes of greenhouse gases (measured in CO2 equivalents) in 2006. This is a 57% increase compared to the outdated calculation method. Of the total 317 million tonnes, the natural gas industry accounted for 261 million tonnes CH4 (measured in CO2 equivalents). The EPA had revised four emission sources that were believed to be significantly underestimated: well venting for liquids unloading; gas well venting during well completions; gas well venting during well workovers; centrifugal compressor wet seal degassing venting.

The EPA also made a distinction between the GHG emissions of conventional gas wells and unconventional gas wells. For unconventional wells, it estimated that the emission factors for venting during well completions and well workovers exceed emission factors of conventional wells by a factor 200. It was assumed that all unconventional wells were completed with hydraulic fracturing of tight sand, shale or coal bed methane formations. The water that is returning to the surface is accompanied by large quantities of methane. This is the main cause of the greater methane emissions than conventional wells.

Study Cornell University

In a study published in the journal Climatic Change, the Cornell University in New York assesses the likely GHG footprint of natural gas in comparison to coal.208 The study builds, among other, upon the recent findings of the EPA. The study acknowledges that natural gas produces less greenhouse gas emissions than coal when burned. However, the authors also take into account the GHG emissions that occur during the production of coal and natural gas. This lifecycle approach of GHG emissions from coal and natural gas presents a different picture. The authors compare the lifecycle GHG emissions of shale gas, conventional natural gas (both with low and high estimates for methane emissions to the atmosphere), coal from surface mines, coal from deep mines and diesel oil.

Largely based upon the recent EPA-study, the authors estimate that 3.6% to 7.9% of the methane from shale gas production escapes to the atmosphere through venting and leaks. This is 1.3 to 2.1 times more than from conventional gas operations. The higher emissions from shale gas occur when wells are hydraulically fractured – as methane escapes from flowback return fluids – and during drill out following the fracturing.

Calculated on the basis of a 20-year horizon, the authors conclude that the lifecycle GHG emissions of shale gas are at least 20% greater than the lifecycle GHG emissions of coal. For conventional natural gas, the emissions of coal fall between the high and low estimate.

The 20-year approach by the authors reflects the need to mitigate climate change in the near- term. As methane is known to have a relative short lifetime in the atmosphere, it especially causes climate change on a short-term. The authors also calculated the lifecycle GHG emissions for a 100-year horizon. Over the 100-year frame, the GHG footprint is comparable to that for coal: the low-end shale-gas emissions are 18% lower than deep-mined coal, and the high-end shale-gas emissions are 15% greater than surface-mined coal emissions.

As for Shell, it is not known how many GHG emissions it releases in the air due to venting and leaking CH4. The company promotes natural gas (including unconventional gas) as a replacement for coal. Natural gas is seen by Shell as a bridge to a low-carbon energy future, something for the near-term. However, for unconventional gas the opposite seems true: the GHG emissions increase compared to coal in the near-term.

A further extract from this section of the report will be published in the coming days.

THE COMPLETE 73 PAGE REPORT (with reference sources)

Is Arctic drilling safe? Scientists aren’t sure

June 24, 2011
Escalating oil prices and diminishing supplies around the world are focusing more attention than ever on the vast petroleum reserves under the Arctic seabed, and in the relatively pristine shoreline areas of the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge and the National Petroleum Reserve-Alaska.The Obama administration is moving to speed up drilling where possible, but the nagging problem with a wholesale move into the Arctic is how much we don’t know about the remote, fragile region. How much more drilling can safely be accommodated?

Can polar bears survive the twin threats of shrinking sea ice and greater ship traffic? What about fish stocks and an acidifying ocean? Bowhead whales might be able to migrate around new oil platforms, but will they be stressed out by drilling noise? And what if their food supplies are shrinking as well?

Interior Secretary Ken Salazar in March 2010 ordered up a report on what we don’t know, and need to know, about what is happening to the Arctic environment. This week, the answer finally arrived, in the form of a long-awaited new report from the U.S. Geological Survey on what science gaps need to be filled to safely carry on the march into one of the coldest and least-understood places on the planet.

“There is significant potential for oil and gas development in U.S. Arctic waters, but this is a frontier area with harsh weather conditions as well as unique fish and wildlife resources that Alaska’s indigenous people rely on for subsistence,” Salazar said in a statement accompanying the report. “To make responsible decisions, we need to understand the environmental and social consequences of development and plan accordingly. This study is helpful in assessing what we know and will help inform determinations about what we need to know to develop our Arctic energy resources in the right places in the right way.”

If you were waiting for answers, forget it. The 292-page report doesn’t have them, but it does do a decent job of laying out the questions. And they’re big, USGS analysts say.

First, the effects of climate change have to be understood and then taken into account, the report says. Already, the number of days that seismic exploration vehicles can operate on the tundra without causing environmental harm (meaning over a protective layer of ice) has shrunk from 200 to 100 over the past 30 years.

Continued projections of even more accelerated sea ice loss “will ultimately affect nearly every aspect of the Arctic environment,” the report says, because plants and animals there are so uniquely adapted to the specific extreme conditions that have been the norm until now.

“Energy activities may exacerbate those changes, unless careful analysis of risks and tradeoffs is conducted,” the report warns, though it also recognizes that less extreme weather could reduce the chances of drilling accidents and spills.

Speaking of which — only recently have federal regulators been talking frankly about the realistic possibility of a heavy-duty oil blowout and the threat that might present in a place so far from deep-water harbors and full-scale cleanup equipment, not to mention the problems of maneuvering such equipment through the ice.USGS analysts said it will be important to learn more about cleanup technologies for icy conditions, how quickly spilled oil would break down in cold Arctic climes, migration patterns of oil — a host of unknowns.

“There have been significant advances in spill-risk evaluation and response knowledge, but concern remains that key inputs to spill models (oceanographic, weather, ecological) are insufficient and that the manner in which ecological data are included is not always clear, nor quantitative,” a fact sheet that accompanies the report says.

“Significant questions exist about the scientific and technical information needed for contingency planning and prompt emergency response (response gap) in the Arctic, which are potentially complicated by a changing climate,” it says.

Other questions highlighted in the report include:

– The impact of drilling noise on marine mammals: “Large uncertainty still exists in understanding how impacts to individual animals may affect characteristics in the populations and research is needed on this topic. An inventory of seismic sound sources used in the Arctic Ocean does not exist,” it says.

– Cumulative impacts of Arctic development. “When actions are considered individually or independently, their combined consequences — or cumulative impact — may not be fully considered or evaluated. This results in misunderstanding, and failure to consider the long range impact of multiple decisions over a large area or over time.”

It may be that there never will be firm scientific answers to the uncertainties that exist on the Arctic frontier, the USGS analysts admit, and the take-home message of their report is their call for a “structured decisionmaking” process to bring various parties to the table to work through the questions.

“Opinions on development run the gamut from ‘there is already enough science’ to ‘there will never be enough science,’ the report said. “Many of the challenges emerging in Arctic oil and gas development decision making are beyond the ability of science alone to resolve. There is no ‘silver bullet.’”

For those wanting to hear more on the state of science in the Arctic, Shell Alaska, which is hoping to conduct major new exploratory drilling in the Beaufort and Chukchi seas off Alaska next year, in 2010 put together an assessment (part two is here) of what the science shows so far (much of which has been compiled by the oil industry, as it happens, during decades of early Arctic oil and gas exploration).

A coalition of conservation groups, including Audubon Alaska, Oceana, Ocean Conservancy and Pew Environment Group, in March submitted to federal regulators their own analysis showing widespread knowledge gaps that still exist.

What if an oil spill happened at an Arctic well?

Arctic waters open for ‘cautious’ leasing after 2012

Polar bear makes marathon swim 426 miles across Arctic seas

Shell adds precautions for Arctic drilling

– Kim Murphy

Map: Top, North Slope of Alaska from Point Hope to the United States–Canada border showing principal coastal communities, Outer Continental Shelf oil and gas leasing areas, and major Federal land holdings. From the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management, Regulation and Enforcement, formerly the Minerals Management Service (2008). Side, Undiscovered oil: Assessment units of the Circum-Arctic Oil and Gas Assessment, color-coded according to the mean estimated undiscovered, technically recoverable oil resources. The open rectangle denotes the approximate location of the Alaska North Slope and Beaufort and Chukchi Seas OCS areas. Modified from Gautier and others (2009).

Shell Gets $876 Million for Canadian Carbon Capture Project

By Ehren Goossens and Jeremy van Loon – Jun 24, 2011 9:46 PM GMT+0100

Royal Dutch Shell Plc (RDSA) will receive C$865 million ($876 million) from the governments of Alberta and Canada to fund a carbon capture and storage project.

Shell and its partners will receive the money over 15 years, based on meeting certain performance targets, according to a statement today on the Government of Alberta’s website. The province of Alberta will contribute C$745 million and Canada will provide the remainder.

Shell’s Quest project would be the first oil-sands operation to capture the greenhouse gas for an upgrading plant, Shell said. Development of Canada’s bitumen reserves has contributed most of the nation’s increase in carbon emissions since 1990 when output was supposed to begin to decline under the Kyoto Protocol.

“This is the second of four grants finalized by the Alberta government for CCS, so the committed funds are starting to flow to developers,”said Cheryl Wilson, carbon capture and storage analyst at Bloomberg New Energy Finance in Washington.

“Quest is Shell’s main carbon capture project after its Barendrecht project near Rotterdam was canceled in November,” Wilson said. The Canadian authorities pledged their support for the project in October 2009.

Alberta has committed C$2 billion to fund four carbon capture and storage projects including Quest, which it says will reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 5 million tons a year starting in 2015.

Slowing Carbon Emissions

Alberta, home to Canada’s oil and gas industry, is counting on carbon capture and storage technology to help slow its output of the gas amid criticism from environmental groups and politicians in the U.S. and the European Union. Greenpeace has said the technology is too expensive to rely on for reducing carbon output on the scale needed to tackle climate change.

Shell and its competitors in the oil and gas industry are not only counting on the technology to allow them to continue exploiting fossil fuel reserves, they also expect governments to help pay for development of carbon capture and storage.

“CCS is recognized as one of the most promising technologies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from fossil fuels,” said John Abbott, Shell’s executive vice president of Heavy Oil in today’s statement. “Government support in this important demonstration phase is essential.”

To contact the reporters on this story: Jeremy van Loon in Calgary at jvanloon@bloomberg.net Ehren Goossens in New York at egoossens1@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Will Wade at wwade4@bloomberg.net

SOURCE ARTICLE

Climate Change Demands Action Now, Shell’s Chief Executive Says

By Ayesha Daya – Jan 17, 2011 4:17 PM GMT+0000

Royal Dutch Shell Plc’s chief said the implementation of climate change agreements made at Cancun last month “won’t happen overnight”, and policymakers must take action now “because the clock is ticking.”

“In the short term, we should focus on areas where we can get the cheapest and quickest carbon dioxide reductions,” Chief Executive Officer Peter Voser said at a renewable energy conference in Abu Dhabi today. “It will take a while for international standards to be implemented, but we are of the opinion that we have to move now.”

Voser offered four ways for policymakers to begin reducing CO2 emissions: energy efficiency, increased use of natural gas, carbon capture and storage projects, and biofuels.

Energy efficiency, such as fuel-efficient vehicles and insulation of buildings, will need government mandates and regulation, he said.

Increased use of natural gas, which would cut emissions by 60-70 percent if it was used in place of coal, will also require government policy to support the switch in fuel type. China has already pledged to obtain 8 percent of its energy consumption from gas by 2020, compared with 4 percent now, he said.

“There’s a revolution in the U.S. now, and also in China with unconventional gas,” Voser said. “So there is ample gas available, and it is cheaper than nuclear power, so it is clearly something in which we can invest.”

Carbon capture and storage projects are yet to be deployed in a big way, and pilot projects require government funding to drive the technology.

Biofuels offer “the only fast transport fuel option” and can be developed in a sustainable way if the correct standards are set, Voser said.

To contact the reporter on this story: Ayesha Daya in Dubai at adaya1@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Stephen Voss at sev@bloomberg.net

BLOOMBERG ARTICLE

Shell CEO Voser claims technology is key to energy security

LONDON, July 27 (UPI) — The world is facing drastic energy shortages unless investors back technological advancements in all forms of energy, executives said in London.

Peter Voser, the chief executive officer at Royal Dutch Shell, told an audience in London that the global community needed to look for new ways to exploit renewable and fossil fuels.

“Even assuming heroic steps to use energy more efficiently, the world will need to develop all energy types,” he said.

Scientists at Shell said that without new ways to increase energy supplies, the world could face looming energy shortages in the coming decades even as new sources of energy such as Iraqi oil come on stream.

The world, Voser said, would need to replace 40 million barrels of oil in daily production by 2020 to make up for declining reserves. This, he said, was about four times what Saudi Arabia is producing currently.

Renewable resources, meanwhile, could supply 30 percent of the world’s energy needs by 2050.

“I’m convinced that technology will help us double our energy supply, while at the same time tackling the threat of climate change,” he said.

UPI ARTICLE

Why Shell Oil is staying in the U.S. Climate Action Partnership

So why has Shell Oil Co. remained an active member of this important organization?

Click to continue reading “Why Shell Oil is staying in the U.S. Climate Action Partnership”

The View From Big Oil

THE WALL STREET JOURNAL

MARCH 8, 2010

Peter Voser of Royal Dutch Shell talks about the kind of energy legislation he’d like to see

These days, giant oil companies find themselves trying to balance two big pressures on their business. Governments are trying to slash carbon emissions—but the world’s thirst for oil is growing by leaps and bounds. Peter Voser, chief executive officer of Royal Dutch Shell PLC, is navigating the situation by joining a business-backed effort to push for global-warming laws, and making sure Shell has a strong exposure to natural gas and alternative fuels.

Mr. Voser sat down with The Wall Street Journal’s Alan Murray and Kimberley Strassel to talk about the future of climate-change legislation, the company’s push beyond oil, the prospects for electric vehicles and more.

Here are edited excerpts of their discussion.

Chief Executive of Royal Dutch Shell, Peter Voser talks about what kind of a future oil based energy can have in an environmentally conscious world.

ALAN MURRAY: I’d like to start by asking you about U.S. CAP [the U.S. Climate Action Partnership], the business effort to push for global-warming legislation. You are the last oil company there. Many of the other majors never joined to begin with. BP joined and then pulled out because it didn’t like the direction that it was going in. Why is Shell alone among the oil companies in continuing to push for this?

PETER VOSER: We have a belief that we need a market-based energy legislation in this country. And by the way, in all the other countries as well. We feel that we can do more by being inside U.S. CAP together with the other stakeholders represented there in order to actually achieve the right outcome.

KIMBERLEY STRASSEL: What kind of bill could you want or expect that would actually be good for your industry?

MR. VOSER: What we want is energy legislation that drives supply security in this country, which drives the country to lower fuel emissions, which generates new jobs but also preserves old jobs.

To then go further down, we are a keen proponent of market-based energy legislation. We will quite clearly look out for natural-gas developments, which we see as a long-term source of energy that has a lot of positives.

And in general, I think our industry is facing an interesting challenge that the demand in the world will double, but we have to provide that energy at a much lower cost to the environment. This will drive technology developments, innovation developments, etc., and that’s normally where our industry has always been in a leading position. And that’s what we want to see in the legislation so that we have certainty on the carbon price, certainty on, let’s say, legislation that will stay for a while so that we can operate.

MS. STRASSEL: What odds do you give passage of a cap-and-trade bill this year?

MR. VOSER: I’m still hopeful that we get something passed. I know the timing will be longer than what we expected maybe 12 months ago, but we will do our part in order to make sure that we get something that the industry and the country can take forward. But I think we are in for a longer period before we get something.

New in the Pipeline

MR. MURRAY: We talk about Shell as an oil company, but you’re very close to becoming a predominantly natural-gas company, aren’t you?

MR. VOSER: That’s absolutely correct. Shell started quite a while back, actually, to put a lot of emphasis on gas. And by 2012, we will have more gas production world-wide than we have oil.

So this has been a journey of 20, 30 years that we have used our technology and innovation in order to drive the gas development on a world-wide basis because, let’s face it, it has 50%, 70% less CO2 than coal, for example, and that’s exactly where we see the long-term benefit.

MR. MURRAY: And in your view, is that the big answer to our environmental problems for the next 50-plus years?

MR. VOSER: I don’t think there is one answer.

On a global perspective, the energy demand will double—this is pretty much proved now—by 2050. So we will need most of the energy forms that we know today.

MR. MURRAY: What percentage of your capital spending goes to renewable energy sources, roughly?

MR. VOSER: It is not the capital intensity that drives renewable energies and alternative energies. It’s what you spend in technologies and in innovation. Roughly 25% of our budget at this stage goes into what we call alternative energies from an R&D point of view.

MR. MURRAY: And of the 25% of your R&D budget that you spend on renewables, what in that portfolio do you personally think is the most promising?

MR. VOSER: We are focusing a lot on biofuels at this stage. We just announced a few weeks ago a big joint venture in Brazil where we are bringing our first- and second-generation biofuels technologies together with Cosan, a sugar ethanol producer there, in order to speed up the second-generation capabilities because we need to speed up that process. So biofuels is one.

We are in wind. We have gone out of solar. We tried both silicon and thin-film solar, but we can’t see that as being something that we can scale up globally and get the economies of scale. So we leave that. It’s a technology that will be developed, no doubt, but we leave that to a smaller, medium-sized players.

Driving Ahead

MR. MURRAY: For your oil business, transportation is obviously a key to the future. How long do you think it will take for electric cars to become a significant part of the vehicle fleet?

MR. VOSER: We think between now and 2050 we will go from one billion cars to two billion cars world-wide. So it’s quite a growth there. We think by 2050 that roughly 40% of those two billion cars will be electric cars.

But there is a but to this. Which means in the meantime we will need all [types of environmentally friendly cars]. So we will need low-carbon-fuels cars, more-efficient engines. We will need the hybrids. There will be more electrical cars coming in. There will be fuel cells, there will be hydrogen. So I think there will be room and space to develop all of them.

Looking to the Market

MS. STRASSEL: You talked about how you wanted legislation here in the U.S. to help with the certainty. But as a global company you already operate in regions that do have climate restrictions. How has that affected your business?

MR. VOSER: I would like to have a market-based system that actually works on the global environment. Because the world, the trade flow today, is a global trade flow, so you cannot cut between frontiers, boundaries, countries, etc.

So while I think it is OK to start country or regionally, we need governments working together, and that’s where I think Copenhagen would have been a good way to achieve a global agreement. We didn’t get it. I’m not too disappointed because I think this is a journey. We will need more time.

The politicians or the governments also have to learn to bring some reality into the discussion from time to time. So we get biofuels legislation, for example, and two years later they change because they realize technically it’s not possible. I think that’s where governments, companies, NGOs can work together to set the right frames.

MS. STRASSEL: Some people say instead of all the negotiations and the offsets and the carbon trading, just put a carbon tax, in particular a gas tax, and see where that goes.

MR. VOSER: I would say you need a market-based system where you can actually give the right incentives for those industries that are affected to make sure that they can lower the CO2 over time and they can lower the costs to achieve that over time. You need an incentive there, and I just struggle to see that a tax is an incentive.

The Journal Report

See the complete Environment Report.

WSJ ARTICLE

BP drops out of US emissions lobby body

Financial Times

By Sheila McNulty in Houston and Anna Fifield in Washington

Published: February 16 2010 20:48

BP, Europe’s biggest oil company, has pulled out of the leading business group lobbying for curbs on US greenhouse gas emissions, a sign of fragmentation in the campaign for climate and energy legislation.

ConocoPhillips and Caterpillar of the US have also dropped out of USCAP, the group revealed on Tuesday. Royal Dutch Shell is now the only large oil company still a member.

Copyright The Financial Times Limited 2010.

FULL FT ARTICLE (Subscription)

Shell stakes green future on sugar biofuel in $2bn Brazil venture

Peter Voser, Shell’s chief executive, has pledged to concentrate on developing biofuels and clean coal, as part of the company’s attempt to reduce its carbon dioxide emissions.

Click to continue reading “Shell stakes green future on sugar biofuel in $2bn Brazil venture”