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Shell seems to have fallen into a trap

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Brief extracts from an excellent informative article published today by “Seeking Alpha” under the headline: Why Royal Dutch Shell Needs To Acquire InterOil Now


Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A) is perhaps the best example of a major that is suffering from diminishing returns on capital, faltering reserve replacement ratios (RRR), and significant excess capital yielding paltry returns. The stock has declined 4.83% year-to-date and 9.95% over the last year…

Shell seems to have fallen into the trap of chasing projects that are perceived as safe either because they are in benign jurisdictions or because they are the types of assets in which other majors are interested. In doing so, the company has exacerbated its risk profile by paying up for projects that depend on flat to rising commodity prices in order to generate acceptable returns. Shell’s woes in Alaska are a good example of the risks inherent in a region that conventional wisdom considers to be safe. The company has already spent $2.2 billion for leases to drill in offshore Alaska and approximately $2.8 billion for operations in the area over the past six years, without making any new discoveries. Shell failed last year to complete two exploration wells in offshore Alaska during the short ice-free summer season, and its drilling rig ran aground after breaking free from tow ships in high seas.

Link to source article and its sister websites,,,,, and are all owned by John Donovan. There is also a Wikipedia article.

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