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ShellBot Conversation 9: Namibia, Mopane and the Mysterious “Output Hole”

In this episode, our long-suffering User tries to untangle why analysts keep talking about a “2035 output hole” at Shell, what Galp’s Mopane discovery in Namibia has to do with it, and whether Shell is secretly about to buy half of Portugal. ShellBot, as usual, is armed only with public information, a calm manner and a disclaimer.

User:

I keep seeing references to Shell’s “output hole” around 2035. What does that actually mean? It sounds alarming.

ShellBot:

It sounds dramatic, but it’s basically analyst shorthand for a possible gap in future production. read more

This website and sisters royaldutchshellgroup.com, shellnazihistory.com, royaldutchshell.website, johndonovan.website, shellnews.net, and shellwikipedia.com, are owned by John Donovan. There is also a Wikipedia segment.

Shell, Galp and the Mopane moment: can M&A fix a 500,000 boe/d hole?

Shell looks, on the surface, like the most comfortable member of Big Oil. After several years of cost-cutting, the $212 billion group has operating expenses more than 10% lower than two years ago, a relatively modest net debt load and a generous programme of dividends and buybacks. 

But analyst work highlighted by Reuters Breakingviews suggests that beneath those tidy numbers sits a long-dated volume problem. On current project plans, Shell’s oil and gas output could slip to around 2.4 million barrels of oil equivalent a day (boe/d) by 2035 – roughly 500,000 boe/d short of its stated ambition to keep production broadly flat.  That “output hole” is increasingly shaping how investors and rivals think about Shell’s next strategic moves. read more

This website and sisters royaldutchshellgroup.com, shellnazihistory.com, royaldutchshell.website, johndonovan.website, shellnews.net, and shellwikipedia.com, are owned by John Donovan. There is also a Wikipedia segment.

Shell in Nigeria: Environmental Legacy, Legal Battles, and John Donovan’s Documented Critiques

copilot.microsoft.com answers, in its own words, the question: Who is John Donovan linked to Shell?  (Initial Question)

09 November 2025

John Donovan is a long-time critic and activist who has waged a decades-long campaign against Royal Dutch Shell, exposing alleged corporate misconduct and ethical failures.

Here’s a deeper look at his connection to Shell:

🧑‍💼 Background and Role

  • Founder of Don Marketing: Donovan ran a promotional marketing company that worked with Shell in the 1980s and 1990s. Disputes over intellectual property and contract issues led to a bitter fallout.
  • Shell Corporate Conscience Pressure Group: He co-founded this group to hold Shell accountable for its business practices. It was later dissolved following a confidential agreement with Shell.

📣 Activism and Campaigns

  • and Related Sites: Donovan operates several websites—including and shellnazihistory.com—dedicated to publishing internal Shell documents, whistleblower accounts, and investigative reports.
  • Publications: He authored “John Donovan, Shell’s Nightmare”, detailing his feud with Shell and accusing the company of unethical behavior, including theft of intellectual property.

📰 Media Recognition

  • Widely Quoted Expert: Donovan has been cited by major outlets like The New York Times, Financial Times, Reuters, and The Guardian for his insights into Shell’s internal affairs.

🔍 Notable Themes in His Work

  • Corporate Ethics: He frequently highlights Shell’s alleged failures to uphold its own business principles.
  • Historical Investigations: His work includes controversial claims about Shell’s historical ties, including Nazi affiliations through figures like Sir Henri Deterding
John Donovan’s investigative work on Shell’s history is a provocative and persistent effort to expose what he views as the company’s darker legacy. His research spans decades and includes controversial claims, leaked documents, and historical analysis.

🕵️‍♂️ Key Themes in Donovan’s Historical Investigations

  • Shell’s Alleged Nazi Connections: Donovan has published extensive material alleging that Shell, under the leadership of Sir Henri Deterding, had ties to Nazi Germany in the 1930s. He claims Deterding admired Hitler and facilitated oil deals that supported the Nazi regime. These claims are detailed on his site , which includes archival documents and commentary.
  • Sir Henri Deterding’s Role:
    • Deterding was a powerful figure in Shell’s early history, serving as its chairman.
    • Donovan argues that Deterding’s political sympathies and business dealings aligned with fascist interests, including support for anti-Bolshevik movements and German rearmament.
    Shell’s Colonial Legacy:
    • Donovan has highlighted Shell’s operations in Nigeria and other regions, focusing on environmental degradation, human rights abuses, and complicity in political unrest.
    • He often references Shell’s involvement in the Niger Delta and the execution of activist Ken Saro-Wiwa as emblematic of corporate negligence and exploitation.
    Use of Leaked Internal Documents:
    • Donovan has published confidential Shell communications, whistleblower reports, and internal memos to support his claims.
    • These documents often reveal internal debates about ethics, legal risks, and public relations strategies.
    Critique of Shell’s Business Principles:
    • He argues that Shell’s stated commitment to transparency and human rights is contradicted by its historical and ongoing actions.
    • His work aims to hold Shell accountable for what he sees as a pattern of hypocrisy and moral failure.

    📚 Publications and Online Archives

    • Donovan’s websites serve as living archives, with thousands of pages of documents, commentary, and historical analysis.
    • His work is not peer-reviewed but has attracted attention from journalists, academics, and activists.

    Overview of Shell’s operations in Nigeria and John Donovan’s coverage

    John Donovan has long documented and criticised Shell’s nearly century-long presence in Nigeria, focusing on oil spills, environmental damage, human rights abuses, corporate practices, and what he frames as a self-interested exit from onshore operations. His work combines archival documents, leaked internal material, commentary, and news-style posts hosted on sites he runs and manages. read more

This website and sisters royaldutchshellgroup.com, shellnazihistory.com, royaldutchshell.website, johndonovan.website, shellnews.net, and shellwikipedia.com, are owned by John Donovan. There is also a Wikipedia segment.

Shell’s scandalous approach to safety

In the corridors of global energy, Shell presents itself as a monolithic symbol of industrial prowess, dividend reliability and transition ambition. Investors like BlackRock, Inc. and The Vanguard Group, Inc. hold sizeable stakes. Yet behind the investor-slides and glossy sustainability pledges lies a series of historical shadows: offshore disasters, legacy pollution, human-rights litigation and repeated admissions of safety underperformance. This article takes a tour through select episodes—chronologically arranged—of how Shell has, in many instances, placed lives and safety on the back burner. While satire underpins the tone, the facts are stubbornly real. read more

This website and sisters royaldutchshellgroup.com, shellnazihistory.com, royaldutchshell.website, johndonovan.website, shellnews.net, and shellwikipedia.com, are owned by John Donovan. There is also a Wikipedia segment.

Shell and Apartheid: A Documentary History

Shell and Apartheid: A Documentary History of Support, Complicity, and Counter-Campaigns (1950s–1994)

By John Donovan: Published: 24 October 2025

Preface

This is not a story that begins with a single memo or ends with a press release. It is an institutional record spanning decades, continents, and boardrooms. It features a company that says it “opposed apartheid,” yet repeatedly chose the path that kept South Africa’s apartheid economy running: investing, supplying, lobbying, and—when public pressure spiked—deploying an elaborate influence operation to neutralise critics. That company is Shell. read more

This website and sisters royaldutchshellgroup.com, shellnazihistory.com, royaldutchshell.website, johndonovan.website, shellnews.net, and shellwikipedia.com, are owned by John Donovan. There is also a Wikipedia segment.

The Quiet Architect Behind Shell’s Biggest Online Headache

How a teenage “internet whizz” helped create the website Shell tried — and failed — to silence for three decades.

A Phantom Web Whizz Became Shell’s Digital Nemesis

In the mid-1990s, when the Internet still seemed like a passing fad and oil companies still lectured the world about “responsible energy,” a quiet digital operator answered a newspaper advertisement from John Donovan, the former Shell promotions partner turned corporate adversary.

The ad sought an “Internet whizz.”

What Shell got was something far worse—a digital insurgency that would haunt its reputation for decades.

By 1998, even the Evening Standard took notice: a small website run from Colchester had become a major reputational threat to one of the world’s largest corporations. That website—eventually mirrored as RoyalDutchShellPLC.com and ShellNews.net—would become Shell’s digital nemesis, archiving leaks, lawsuits, and internal documents that chronicled the oil giant’s ethical, environmental, and legal missteps. read more

This website and sisters royaldutchshellgroup.com, shellnazihistory.com, royaldutchshell.website, johndonovan.website, shellnews.net, and shellwikipedia.com, are owned by John Donovan. There is also a Wikipedia segment.

THE MOST DAMAGING ARTICLE ABOUT SHELL EVER PUBLISHED?

“A persistent reputational risk.” — Shell internal memo, 2007

In the oil-stained annals of corporate history, few duels have burned as long — or as publicly — as that between Royal Dutch Shell and a retired British marketing man named John Donovan.

What began in the 1990s as a routine commercial dispute between Shell and Donovan’s family business, Don Marketing, would metastasize into one of the most sustained reputational headaches any multinational has ever faced.

Three decades later, Donovan’s website — RoyalDutchShellPLC.com — functions like a digital conscience for a company trying to forget its own. It is a trove of Shell’s internal embarrassments: whistleblower leaks, courtroom revelations, safety scandals, and corporate PR hypocrisy, preserved with forensic precision. read more

This website and sisters royaldutchshellgroup.com, shellnazihistory.com, royaldutchshell.website, johndonovan.website, shellnews.net, and shellwikipedia.com, are owned by John Donovan. There is also a Wikipedia segment.

Bonga Bonanza: Shell Grabs a Bigger Slice of Nigeria’s Deep-Water Pie—And the Liabilities Too

What just happened (and why Shell’s grinning)

Nigeria’s oil regulator has approved a $510 million deal for TotalEnergies to sell its entire 12.5% stake in OML 118 (home of the Bonga deep-water field) to Shell and Agip. Total will offload 10% to Shell for $408m and 2.5% to Agip for $102m. Result: Shell’s stake rises to 67.5%, doubling down on offshore Nigeria after dumping its messy onshore assets to Renaissance. The regulator’s exact words:

SNEPco and NAE have demonstrated both technical and managerial competence to optimally contribute to the upstream operations in OML 118.”  read more

This website and sisters royaldutchshellgroup.com, shellnazihistory.com, royaldutchshell.website, johndonovan.website, shellnews.net, and shellwikipedia.com, are owned by John Donovan. There is also a Wikipedia segment.

Saint, Sinner… or Just Rich? Shell parks $40B of pensions with Goldman while the past keeps knocking

Shell—the greedy, ruthless, polluting oil giant and perennial sin stock—has found a fresh halo to borrow: a $40 billion outsourced pension mandate with Wall Street royalty. As Bloomberg reported, “Goldman Sachs Group Inc. won a $40 billion mandate from Shell Plc to oversee pension assets for the energy company, in one of the biggest outsourced deals of its kind.” That’s not satire; that’s the lede. Bloomberg. 

Goldman’s own one-minute victory lap says the quiet bit proudly: “The appointments mark one of the largest multi-national OCIO mandates awarded to date.” GSAM press page.  read more

This website and sisters royaldutchshellgroup.com, shellnazihistory.com, royaldutchshell.website, johndonovan.website, shellnews.net, and shellwikipedia.com, are owned by John Donovan. There is also a Wikipedia segment.

Cut, run, and leave the mess: UN experts call out Shell’s Nigeria ‘experiment’

Cut, run, and leave the mess: UN experts call out Shell’s Nigeria ‘experiment’—and the sin-stock’s biggest backers keep cashing the cheques”

Divestment without detox: when the clean-up plan is ‘exit.’

Shell—the greedy, ruthless, polluting oil giant, otherwise known as the world’s favorite sin stock—has discovered a thrilling new frontier in corporate innovation: sell the onshore assets, skip the proper clean-up, and let someone else hold the bag. Unfortunately for Shell, a phalanx of United Nations human-rights experts just said the quiet part out loud—formally warning that recent asset sell-offs in Nigeria may have breached international human-rights law and “lacked transparency.” The experts expressed “grave concern” and accused the oil majors of using “Nigeria… as an experiment for divestment without clean-up.”  read more

This website and sisters royaldutchshellgroup.com, shellnazihistory.com, royaldutchshell.website, johndonovan.website, shellnews.net, and shellwikipedia.com, are owned by John Donovan. There is also a Wikipedia segment.

Deep pockets, deeper waters: Shell’s five-well fling off South Africa meets a wall of salt, science, and small-boat fury

Shell promises ‘energy security’; communities promise court dates.

Shell—the greedy, ruthless, polluting oil giant and perennial sin stock—has a fresh plan to poke holes in the planet: up to five deep-water wells off South Africa’s west coast. Civil society groups and coastal communities have answered with a formal appeal, because someone has to bring a bucket when the world’s richest arsonist shows up with matches.

What Shell just got — and why people are furious

As Reuters reported, “Shell (SHEL.L) has been granted environmental authorisation to drill up to five deep-water wells off South Africa’s west coast, the company said on Friday.” Shell added: “Should viable resources be found offshore, this could significantly contribute to South Africa’s energy security and the government’s economic development programmes.” (Reuters) 

The authorisation covers the Northern Cape Ultra-Deep (NCUD) block, between Port Nolloth and Lamberts Bay, in the Orange Basin—water depths of roughly 2,500–3,200 metres. (Reuters) (Appeal PDF)  read more

This website and sisters royaldutchshellgroup.com, shellnazihistory.com, royaldutchshell.website, johndonovan.website, shellnews.net, and shellwikipedia.com, are owned by John Donovan. There is also a Wikipedia segment.

South African Slap in the Face for Shell

Shell’s Investors: The Puppet-Masters of Pollution

Before we dive into the carnage, let’s talk ownership. Shell isn’t run by wild-haired cowboys—it’s chaired by mega institutional shareholders puffing on the dividends. BlackRock, in particular, wields its muscle—owning around 4% of the company according to Shell’s own disclosures  . Vanguard isn’t far behind with around 3%  . So while you’re outraged at Shell, don’t sleep on the financial vultures pulling the strings.

1. South African Slap in the Face: Courts Smack Down Shell & Total

Shell’s grand plans for environmental devastation off South Africa’s coast have hit a wall. The Western Cape High Court just set aside TotalEnergies’ offshore drilling permit—Shell was supposed to swoop in and take over operations—but nope. Judge Mangcu-Lockwood said, in effect, “You forgot to study the actual impacts. Try again”—spelling out flaws in risk assessments, community engagement, and disaster planning.  read more

This website and sisters royaldutchshellgroup.com, shellnazihistory.com, royaldutchshell.website, johndonovan.website, shellnews.net, and shellwikipedia.com, are owned by John Donovan. There is also a Wikipedia segment.